Protests in Iran feel different this time

Large demonstrations are spreading across Iran amid severe economic strain, a collapsing currency and a worsening water crisis; the government’s security forces remain powerful and the outcome is uncertain.

Large demonstrations are occurring across Iran amid severe economic strain and a worsening water shortage. The immediate trigger included a rapid collapse of the currency and soaring inflation, layered on years of economic mismanagement and corruption. Similar waves of protest followed the disputed 2009 election and the 2022 unrest after Mahsa Amini's death, but those mobilisations were ultimately suppressed. Observers also point to Iran's weakened international position even as the government's security forces retain significant capacity. Key facts: - The demonstrations are described in the article as among the largest the Islamic Republic has faced. - The article reports the protests were triggered by a collapsing currency, high inflation and a severe water crisis after prolonged economic problems. - The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and other security forces are presented as strong and willing to defend the regime. - The article characterises the outcome as uncertain; it suggests some change is possible but the near-term trajectory is undetermined. Summary: The protests are testing the durability of Iran's political and economic model and have highlighted tensions both inside the country and in its regional position. The government's capacity for repression and a fragmented opposition leave the short-term outcome unclear. Undetermined at this time.