Coffee price inflation is up 31% since 2024, but relief may be coming

Statistics Canada reports coffee prices rose 31% in December 2025 versus a year earlier, while overall food inflation rose about 5%. Experts say weather-driven supply problems and recent tariff changes are likely factors, and improving conditions in Brazil could ease prices in coming months.

Statistics Canada reported that coffee prices rose 31% in December 2025 compared with the same month in 2024. At the retail level, roasted or ground coffee averaged $7.12 for 340 grams in December 2024 and $9.35 in December 2025. There is no clear evidence that higher prices have led to significantly lower coffee consumption in Canada. Experts point to weather-driven supply disruptions and shifts in trade policy as main contributors. Key facts: - Statistics Canada: coffee prices up 31% year-over-year in December 2025; overall food prices rose about 5% and all-items inflation was about 2.4% in the same period. - Retail example: the average price for 340 grams of roasted or ground coffee rose from $7.12 to $9.35 between December 2024 and December 2025. - Experts say droughts and other weather issues reduced yields in some producing regions, while recent rains in Brazil may improve upcoming harvests. - Some tariff measures that affected coffee were removed in late 2025, but higher-cost inventory purchased earlier may still be reflected in current prices. Summary: The reported price increase has raised costs for consumers but has not clearly reduced overall consumption. Analysts note that improved weather in Brazil and the removal of some tariffs could help stabilize supply and prices, but the outlook is undetermined at this time.