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US trade deficit narrows in October amid tariff-driven shifts.
Summary
The U.S. trade deficit fell to $29.4 billion in October, a 39% decline from September, as imports fell and exports rose; Wells Fargo economists say the change was largely driven by movements in gold and may be reversed.
Content
The U.S. trade gap narrowed in October, according to a Commerce Department report released Jan. 8. The October trade deficit in goods and services was $29.4 billion, down 39% from $48.1 billion in September. Imports declined while exports increased in the month amid tariff-related shifts and other changes in trade flows. Some analysts say this single-month move may reflect unusual factors rather than a sustained trend.
Key points:
- The trade deficit was $29.4 billion in October, down 39% from $48.1 billion in September.
- Imports fell 3.2% to $331.4 billion, and exports rose 2.6% to $302 billion.
- The Trading Economics consensus had expected a wider deficit of $58.9 billion.
- Wells Fargo economists said the sharp narrowing was almost entirely due to movement of gold and that this unusual move is likely to be reversed.
- Wells Fargo also noted that government economic indicators remain affected by delays from the shutdown and that a fuller look at 2026 trade flows is still months away.
Summary:
The October figures show a notably smaller headline trade gap but include caveats from analysts about atypical movements behind the change. Officials and economists say updates to delayed data are ongoing, and a clearer picture of 2026 trade flows is not expected for several months.
